LOADSTAR · powered by CIIE
Real, or phantom?
The reality index for AI infrastructure. We measure where the AI buildout is actually being built — cross-referenced against official ISO queues where coverage allows, and sealed in a dated ledger. Regions below rank by the underlying Compute Formation Index; open one for its real-vs-phantom verdict.
The LOADSTAR number — live, free to cite
as of 2026-07-01
876.5 GW requested · 17.4 GW firm · 50.3×
ERCOT 291→0 GWMISO 230→0 GWPJM 149→17 GWSPP 90→0 GWCAISO 79→0 GW
Arrow = independently firm-committed GW. Where 0, the firm-commitment tier is not yet observable in that ISO’s public data (unverified, not confirmed absent) — coverage is strongest in PJM today.
U.S. large-load interconnection queues vs. independently firm commitments — descriptive of today, not a forecast.
cite it →Track record, accruing99 withdrawal predictions live — sealed, dated, hash-anchored; they resolve on their own from Dec 2026.the dated record →
Is the announced large load real — or phantom load — before you approve the transmission that ratepayers fund?
Updated Jul 06, 2026 · automatic
Radical honesty: the CFI measures TODAY's signal — it doesn't promise a future hit. Predictions go public only once the hit is validated.
Preliminary signal (3 outcomes, in-sample, not yet validated): top-CFI regions saw 2.08× more real-phase outcome signals (keyword-matched) over the 6-month horizon.
🔴 hot · 🟠 heating · 🟡 emerging · 🔵 cool — click a region for its terminal. Pulse = CFI ≥ 70.
#
Region
CFI
Index
Queue / trend
1
85
29.402 MW▲ accelerating
2
84
21.664 MW▲ accelerating
3
81
34.901 MW▲ accelerating
4
80
37.898 MW▲ accelerating
5
79
42.956 MW▲ accelerating
6
77
6.376 MW▲ accelerating
7
75
9.900 MW▲ accelerating
8
73
14.963 MW▲ accelerating
9
72
19.017 MW▲ accelerating
10
69
5.336 MW▲ accelerating
11
68
7.265 MW▲ accelerating
12
65
60.278 MW▲ accelerating
14
64
7.346 MW▲ accelerating
15
62
22.915 MW▲ accelerating
16
61
13.863 MW▲ accelerating
17
57
100 MW▲ accelerating
18
44
54.289 MW▲ accelerating
19
42
103.048 MW▲ accelerating
20
41
14.097 MW▲ accelerating
CFI = 35% formation (multi-source signal) + 30% energy (interconnection queue) + 20% momentum + 15% corroboration. 0–100. Methodology open on purpose — a black box never becomes the reference.
Your region's evidence pack
Free: the reality index + open methodology. In the paid pack: the filing-by-filing auditable trail (committed vs. speculative MW by queue stage, and who withdrew), defensible on the record, plus an alert when your region's load flips from real to phantom.
Talk about my region's pack