{"updated_at":"2026-08-29T13:24:42.667763+00:00","credibility":{"methodology_version":"2026-07-03","status":"DESCRITIVO","status_significa":"mede o sinal de HOJE (como o VIX mede o medo de hoje). NÃO promete acerto futuro.","coverage":"EUA, 49 regiões; fora = não-medido","methodology_url":"/api/v1/regions/methodology"},"note":"Responde a pauta FERC show-cause (RM26-4). Fila de GERAÇÃO, não de carga de data center. Descritivo e HONESTO sobre cobertura. Público e citável. (auditoria 11 jul)","as_of":"2026-08-29T13:24:42.623228+00:00","by_iso":[{"iso":"ERCOT","raw_gw":307.2,"raw_mw":307230,"n_requests":1128,"committed_gw":0.0,"committed_mw":0,"uncommitted_mw":307230,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":0.0,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":100.0},{"iso":"MISO","raw_gw":241.7,"raw_mw":241666,"n_requests":1053,"committed_gw":0.2,"committed_mw":200,"uncommitted_mw":241466,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":0.1,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":14.8},{"iso":"SPP","raw_gw":150.5,"raw_mw":150521,"n_requests":686,"committed_gw":60.7,"committed_mw":60668,"uncommitted_mw":89853,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":40.3,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":40.3},{"iso":"PJM","raw_gw":148.8,"raw_mw":148766,"n_requests":650,"committed_gw":16.6,"committed_mw":16565,"uncommitted_mw":132201,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":11.1,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":11.1},{"iso":"CAISO","raw_gw":73.9,"raw_mw":73938,"n_requests":235,"committed_gw":59.7,"committed_mw":59735,"uncommitted_mw":14203,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":80.8,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":80.8},{"iso":"NYISO","raw_gw":24.9,"raw_mw":24867,"n_requests":135,"committed_gw":0.0,"committed_mw":0,"uncommitted_mw":24867,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":0.0,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":1.1},{"iso":"ISONE","raw_gw":11.6,"raw_mw":11553,"n_requests":36,"committed_gw":7.9,"committed_mw":7949,"uncommitted_mw":3604,"source_age_days":0,"committed_share_pct":68.8,"source_collected_on":"2026-08-28","commitment_coverage_pct":68.8}],"method":"Per LIVE ISO/RTO generation interconnection queue (PJM/ERCOT/CAISO/MISO/SPP/ISO-NE/NYISO): raw = SUM(capacity_mw) of active requests >=50 MW (any fuel_type — this is the generation queue, not data-center load requests); committed = subset with a firm commitment tier; uncommitted = raw − committed. commitment_coverage = share of MW that has evidence-backed tier data (comprometido/em_estudo only — 'inicial'/no-keyword rows are excluded, they carry no evidence). Bulk datasets without tier data (e.g., LBNL) are reported separately, NOT in the de-rate.","honesty":["This is the GENERATION interconnection queue, not data-center load requests — ISOs do not publish a load-request queue for most regions; large-load MW is a proxy signal, not a count of data centers. See PLANO_100.md CLASSE 1.","The raw queue is NOT deduplicated — the same project can appear more than once (shopping multiple utilities/POIs); duplicative requests are part of what the gap measures, not a counting error (FERC's own show-cause thesis, RM26-4).","UNCOMMITTED ≠ PHANTOM. When commitment coverage is low, most 'uncommitted' MW is UNVERIFIED (no data), not confirmed speculative. We lead with the raw-vs-committed inflation ratio + coverage, not a 'phantom %'.","The raw queue is inflated by duplicative/speculative requests (FERC's own show-cause thesis, RM26-4) — raw MW can exceed total grid capacity; treat it as an upper bound, not a forecast.","Not a validated materialization rate (needs the track record, ~Dec 2026). Queue status is graded, not binary (FERC 2023 cluster reform). Behind-the-meter load bypasses the queue.","'Committed' is OUR classification of the queue data (keyword-based, per project), not the ISO's official interconnection-agreement-executed status — our best read, verifiable per project. The number sharpens as we ingest official queue-status fields."],"headline":"Of 958.5 GW in the live ISO generation queues (>=50 MW), 84.9% shows no signed agreement or construction status.","source_freshness":{"limite_dias":7,"isos_vencidos":[],"todas_frescas":true,"mais_velha_iso":"ERCOT","mais_velha_dias":0,"mais_velha_coletada_em":"2026-08-28","isos_sem_data_de_coleta":[]},"national_live_iso":{"n_isos":7,"raw_gw":958.5,"raw_mw":958542,"read_gw":933.7,"lead_iso":"SPP","n_unread":1,"read_isos":["CAISO","ERCOT","ISONE","MISO","PJM","SPP"],"unread_gw":24.9,"n_requests":3923,"spread_str":"CAISO 81% · ISONE 68% · SPP 40% · PJM 11%","lead_raw_gw":150.5,"n_near_zero":2,"queues_word":"queue","unread_isos":["NYISO"],"committed_gw":145.1,"committed_mw":145117,"n_comparable":4,"near_zero_str":"ERCOT and MISO","near_zero_word":"queues","spread_max_pct":81,"spread_min_pct":11,"uncommitted_mw":813425,"lead_signed_pct":40.3,"unread_isos_str":"NYISO","lead_committed_gw":60.7,"lead_unsigned_pct":59.7,"committed_share_pct":15.1,"comparable_isos_str":"CAISO, ISONE, SPP and PJM","n_active_rows_total":5067,"commitment_coverage_pct":50.9,"scope_filter_dropped_pct":0.0,"lead_share_of_all_signed_pct":0.0,"inflation_ratio_raw_over_committed":6.6},"bulk_datasets_excluded":[{"iso":"LBNL","raw_gw":295.7,"raw_mw":295690,"n_requests":1144,"committed_gw":0.0,"committed_mw":0,"uncommitted_mw":295690,"source_age_days":76,"committed_share_pct":0.0,"source_collected_on":"2026-06-13","commitment_coverage_pct":0.0}]}